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Cosmos (ATOM) research

Every model we publish for Cosmos — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.

Cosmos key levels today

The headline figure from each of Cosmos's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.

Lifetime TWAP$9.00TWAP / Gravity Risk
Gravity Risk (0-100)0.0TWAP / Gravity Risk
200-week moving average$5.98200-Week Moving Average Risk
Regression floor$0.66DCA & Regression Fair Value
Regression fair value$1.01DCA & Regression Fair Value
Regression ceiling$2.18DCA & Regression Fair Value
Moving-average risk score38.4%200-Week Moving Average Risk
20-week SMA risk level (0-1)0.3620-Week SMA Risk
Log regression deviation+37.38%Log Regression Fair Value
Forecast base target$1.25 (68% range $0.75 to $2.15)Price Forecast

Is Cosmos overvalued right now?

Cosmos trades 85% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 0.0/100.

Where is Cosmos against its 200-week moving average?

Cosmos is 77.0% below its 200-week moving average of $5.98, at $1.37. Macro risk score 38.4%.

What is Cosmos's 20-week moving-average risk level?

Cosmos at $1.37 sits at risk level 0.36 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.

Where is Cosmos against its DCA fair value?

Cosmos sits 36% above its regression fair value of $1.01.

Is Cosmos above or below its log regression fair value?

Cosmos is 37% above its log regression fair value.

Is Cosmos in accumulation or euphoria on the rainbow chart?

Where Cosmos sits between accumulation and euphoria, on rainbow bands.

What does the model forecast for the Cosmos price?

Cosmos model base target $1.25, with a 68% range of $0.75 to $2.15.

Cosmos against other assets

How does Cosmos's reading today compare with its own history?

Across 120 weekly readings from 2024-07-14 to 2026-11-09, Cosmos's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 87% below to 7% below, with a median of 63% below. Today it is 85% below. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 63% below to 79% above over 120 weeks from 2024-07-07 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 29% below; today it is 36% above.

How does Cosmos's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?

Cosmos's Gravity Risk of 0 is tied for the lowest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 85% below, it is the 29th lowest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.

Cosmos's track record

Every weekly DCA reading published for Cosmos since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.

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