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Filecoin (FIL) research
Every model we publish for Filecoin — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Filecoin key levels today
The headline figure from each of Filecoin's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $14 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 0.1 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $3.51 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $0.28 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $0.57 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $2.55 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 45.8% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.39 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | +38.78% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $0.66 (68% range $0.42 to $1.07) | Price Forecast |
Is Filecoin overvalued right now?
Filecoin trades 94% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 0.1/100.
Where is Filecoin against its 200-week moving average?
Filecoin is 77.9% below its 200-week moving average of $3.51, at $0.78. Macro risk score 45.8%.
What is Filecoin's 20-week moving-average risk level?
Filecoin at $0.78 sits at risk level 0.39 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is Filecoin against its DCA fair value?
Filecoin sits 37% above its regression fair value of $0.57.
Is Filecoin above or below its log regression fair value?
Filecoin is 39% above its log regression fair value.
What does the model forecast for the Filecoin price?
Filecoin model base target $0.66, with a 68% range of $0.42 to $1.07.
Filecoin against other assets
How does Filecoin's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 107 weekly readings from 2024-10-13 to 2026-11-09, Filecoin's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 95% below to 54% below, with a median of 89% below. Today it is 94% below. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 79% below to 104% above over 106 weeks from 2024-10-13 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 63% below; today it is 37% above.
How does Filecoin's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
Filecoin's Gravity Risk of 0.1 is tied for the 10th lowest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 94% below, it is the 14th lowest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
Filecoin's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for Filecoin since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.