CryptoWeeklies / Reports / TRX
Tron (TRX) research
Every model we publish for Tron — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Tron key levels today
The headline figure from each of Tron's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $0.11 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 57.1 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $0.21 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $0.30 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $0.49 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $1.14 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 18.9% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.25 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | -35.20% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $0.30 (68% range $0.14 to $0.63) | Price Forecast |
| Base scenario value by 2040 | $2.19 | Retirement CAGR Model |
Is Tron overvalued right now?
Tron trades 182% above its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 57.1/100.
Where is Tron against its 200-week moving average?
Tron is 54.4% above its 200-week moving average of $0.21, at $0.32. Macro risk score 18.9%.
What is Tron's 20-week moving-average risk level?
Tron at $0.32 sits at risk level 0.25 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is Tron against its DCA fair value?
Tron sits 35% below its regression fair value of $0.49.
Is Tron above or below its log regression fair value?
Tron is 35% below its log regression fair value.
Is Tron in accumulation or euphoria on the rainbow chart?
Where Tron sits between accumulation and euphoria, on rainbow bands.
What does the model forecast for the Tron price?
Tron model base target $0.30, with a 68% range of $0.14 to $0.63.
How much Tron do you need to retire?
In the base scenario (25% in growth years, with a drawdown every four years), Tron reaches $2.19 by 2040. A scenario, not a forecast.
Tron against other assets
- 200-Week Moving Average Risk — Composite SMA Risk, BTC pair
- Price Forecast — Price Forecast And Analysis, BTC pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Gravity Analysis, BTC pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Twap Gravity, BTC pair
- Valuation Bands — Valuation Bands, BTC pair
- 200-Week Moving Average Risk — Composite SMA Risk, ETH pair
- Price Forecast — Price Forecast And Analysis, ETH pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Gravity Analysis, ETH pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Twap Gravity, ETH pair
- Valuation Bands — Valuation Bands, ETH pair
How does Tron's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 114 weekly readings from 2024-08-25 to 2026-11-09, Tron's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 154% above to 412% above, with a median of 230% above. Today it is 182% above. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 37% below to 85% above over 113 weeks from 2024-08-25 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 17% below; today it is 35% below.
How does Tron's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
Tron's Gravity Risk of 57.1 is the highest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 182% above, it is the highest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
Tron's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for Tron since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.