Tron against its 20-week moving average: risk level

TRX Risk Matrix

$0.3173 | Risk: 0.25

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:54 UTC

📈 TRX Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.2773
Level 0.05 $0.2853
Level 0.10 $0.2934
Level 0.15 $0.3014
Level 0.20 $0.3094
Level 0.25 $0.3174
Level 0.30 $0.3255
Level 0.35 $0.3335
Level 0.40 $0.3415
Level 0.45 $0.3495
Level 0.50 $0.3576
Level 0.55 $0.3656
Level 0.60 $0.3736
Level 0.65 $0.3816
Level 0.70 $0.3897
Level 0.75 $0.3977
Level 0.80 $0.4057
Level 0.85 $0.4137
Level 0.90 $0.4218
Level 0.95 $0.4298
Level 1.00 $0.4378

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes TRX's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what TRX's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.