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THORChain (RUNE) research
Every model we publish for THORChain — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
THORChain key levels today
The headline figure from each of THORChain's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $2.95 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 0.7 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $2.39 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $0.086 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $0.17 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $0.88 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 61.4% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.35 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | +243.85% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $0.66 (68% range $0.11 to $2.35) | Price Forecast |
Is THORChain overvalued right now?
THORChain trades 80% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 0.7/100.
Where is THORChain against its 200-week moving average?
THORChain is 75.1% below its 200-week moving average of $2.39, at $0.60. Macro risk score 61.4%.
What is THORChain's 20-week moving-average risk level?
THORChain at $0.60 sits at risk level 0.35 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is THORChain against its DCA fair value?
THORChain sits 246% above its regression fair value of $0.17.
Is THORChain above or below its log regression fair value?
THORChain is 244% above its log regression fair value.
What does the model forecast for the THORChain price?
THORChain model base target $0.66, with a 68% range of $0.11 to $2.35.
THORChain against other assets
How does THORChain's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 117 weekly readings from 2024-08-04 to 2026-11-09, THORChain's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 89% below to 110% above, with a median of 67% below. Today it is 80% below. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 89% below to 344% above over 116 weeks from 2024-08-04 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 10% below; today it is 246% above.
How does THORChain's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
THORChain's Gravity Risk of 0.7 is tied for the 29th lowest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 80% below, it is the 37th lowest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
THORChain's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for THORChain since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.