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Ethereum Classic (ETC) research
Every model we publish for Ethereum Classic — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Ethereum Classic key levels today
The headline figure from each of Ethereum Classic's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $19 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 2.5 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $17.96 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $4.78 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $11.29 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $33.01 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 34.1% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.34 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | -37.64% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $6.42 (68% range $3.25 to $12.66) | Price Forecast |
Is Ethereum Classic overvalued right now?
Ethereum Classic trades 64% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 2.5/100.
Where is Ethereum Classic against its 200-week moving average?
Ethereum Classic is 61.6% below its 200-week moving average of $17.96, at $6.89. Macro risk score 34.1%.
What is Ethereum Classic's 20-week moving-average risk level?
Ethereum Classic at $6.90 sits at risk level 0.34 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is Ethereum Classic against its DCA fair value?
Ethereum Classic sits 39% below its regression fair value of $11.29.
Is Ethereum Classic above or below its log regression fair value?
Ethereum Classic is 38% below its log regression fair value.
Is Ethereum Classic in accumulation or euphoria on the rainbow chart?
Where Ethereum Classic sits between accumulation and euphoria, on rainbow bands.
What does the model forecast for the Ethereum Classic price?
Ethereum Classic model base target $6.42, with a 68% range of $3.25 to $12.66.
Ethereum Classic against other assets
How does Ethereum Classic's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 120 weekly readings from 2024-07-14 to 2026-11-09, Ethereum Classic's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 68% below to 83% above, with a median of 19% below. Today it is 64% below. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 60% below to 44% above over 120 weeks from 2024-07-07 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 35% below; today it is 39% below.
How does Ethereum Classic's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
Ethereum Classic's Gravity Risk of 2.5 is tied for the 36th highest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 64% below, it is the 35th highest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
Ethereum Classic's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for Ethereum Classic since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.