ETC/USD Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:59 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

$3.253

23-Week Base Target

$6.424

68% Bull Target

$12.66

Raw Data Matrix (USD)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $4.837 $5.421 $6.046 $6.765 $7.568 $8.44 $9.455
2026-11-29 $3.748 $4.521 $5.41 $6.507 $7.827 $9.362 $11.29
2026-12-06 $3.337 $4.222 $5.288 $6.667 $8.404 $10.52 $13.29
2026-12-13 $3.01 $3.965 $5.162 $6.771 $8.879 $11.55 $15.19
2026-12-20 $2.718 $3.708 $4.991 $6.777 $9.197 $12.37 $16.84
2026-12-27 $2.447 $3.445 $4.78 $6.693 $9.369 $12.98 $18.23
2027-01-03 $2.248 $3.258 $4.647 $6.695 $9.64 $13.73 $19.84
2027-01-10 $2.081 $3.098 $4.534 $6.706 $9.912 $14.48 $21.48
2027-01-17 $1.924 $2.937 $4.402 $6.673 $10.11 $15.12 $23.00
2027-01-24 $1.772 $2.771 $4.248 $6.592 $10.22 $15.63 $24.34
2027-01-31 $1.657 $2.649 $4.15 $6.584 $10.44 $16.31 $25.96
2027-02-07 $1.587 $2.593 $4.147 $6.718 $10.87 $17.34 $28.19
2027-02-14 $1.465 $2.446 $3.992 $6.606 $10.92 $17.77 $29.50
2027-02-21 $1.324 $2.258 $3.759 $6.349 $10.71 $17.77 $30.13
2027-02-28 $1.28 $2.226 $3.778 $6.506 $11.19 $18.92 $32.71
2027-03-07 $1.228 $2.178 $3.765 $6.607 $11.58 $19.94 $35.12
2027-03-14 $1.164 $2.102 $3.70 $6.613 $11.80 $20.69 $37.11
2027-03-21 $1.09 $2.005 $3.59 $6.531 $11.87 $21.16 $38.63
2027-03-28 $1.035 $1.938 $3.529 $6.533 $12.07 $21.89 $40.66
2027-04-04 $0.9859 $1.878 $3.476 $6.543 $12.30 $22.65 $42.79
2027-04-11 $0.9341 $1.809 $3.403 $6.512 $12.44 $23.27 $44.69
2027-04-18 $0.8796 $1.732 $3.308 $6.432 $12.48 $23.72 $46.27
2027-04-25 $0.8384 $1.677 $3.253 $6.424 $12.66 $24.42 $48.39

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of ETC's valuation against the US Dollar (USD) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.