CryptoWeeklies / Reports / DOGE
Dogecoin (DOGE) research
Every model we publish for Dogecoin — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Dogecoin key levels today
The headline figure from each of Dogecoin's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $0.093 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 1.1 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $0.14 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $0.069 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $0.14 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $0.78 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 30.9% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.18 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | -47.98% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $0.075 (68% range $0.027 to $0.17) | Price Forecast |
| Base scenario value by 2040 | $0.484 | Retirement CAGR Model |
Is Dogecoin overvalued right now?
Dogecoin trades 25% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 1.1/100.
Where is Dogecoin against its 200-week moving average?
Dogecoin is 49.1% below its 200-week moving average of $0.14, at $0.070. Macro risk score 30.9%.
What is Dogecoin's 20-week moving-average risk level?
Dogecoin at $0.070 sits at risk level 0.18 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is Dogecoin against its DCA fair value?
Dogecoin sits 49% below its regression fair value of $0.14.
Is Dogecoin above or below its log regression fair value?
Dogecoin is 48% below its log regression fair value.
Is Dogecoin in accumulation or euphoria on the rainbow chart?
Where Dogecoin sits between accumulation and euphoria, on rainbow bands.
What does the model forecast for the Dogecoin price?
Dogecoin model base target $0.075, with a 68% range of $0.027 to $0.17.
How much Dogecoin do you need to retire?
In the base scenario (25% in growth years, with a drawdown every four years), Dogecoin reaches $0.484 by 2040. A scenario, not a forecast.
Dogecoin against other assets
- 200-Week Moving Average Risk — Composite SMA Risk, BTC pair
- Price Forecast — Price Forecast And Analysis, BTC pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Gravity Analysis, BTC pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Twap Gravity, BTC pair
- Valuation Bands — Valuation Bands, BTC pair
- 200-Week Moving Average Risk — Composite SMA Risk, ETH pair
- Price Forecast — Price Forecast And Analysis, ETH pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Gravity Analysis, ETH pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Twap Gravity, ETH pair
- Valuation Bands — Valuation Bands, ETH pair
How does Dogecoin's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 120 weekly readings from 2024-07-14 to 2026-11-09, Dogecoin's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 25% below to 526% above, with a median of 66% above. Today it is 25% below. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 67% below to 169% above over 120 weeks from 2024-07-07 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 46% below; today it is 49% below.
How does Dogecoin's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
Dogecoin's Gravity Risk of 1.1 is tied for the 36th lowest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 25% below, it is the 19th highest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
Dogecoin's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for Dogecoin since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.