CryptoWeeklies / Reports / BNB
BNB (BNB) research
Every model we publish for BNB — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
BNB key levels today
The headline figure from each of BNB's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $324 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 11.2 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $565.56 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $336.47 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $731.30 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $2,047.38 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 30.0% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.30 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | -5.96% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $777.00 (68% range $517.87 to $1,113.95) | Price Forecast |
| Base scenario value by 2040 | $4,751 | Retirement CAGR Model |
Is BNB overvalued right now?
BNB trades 112% above its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 11.2/100.
Where is BNB against its 200-week moving average?
BNB is 21.5% above its 200-week moving average of $565.56, at $687.26. Macro risk score 30.0%.
What is BNB's 20-week moving-average risk level?
BNB at $687.63 sits at risk level 0.30 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is BNB against its DCA fair value?
BNB sits 6% below its regression fair value of $731.30.
Is BNB above or below its log regression fair value?
BNB is 6% below its log regression fair value.
Is BNB in accumulation or euphoria on the rainbow chart?
BNB is in a bear market / accumulation phase at $695.04.
What does the model forecast for the BNB price?
BNB model base target $777.00, with a 68% range of $517.87 to $1,113.95.
How much BNB do you need to retire?
In the base scenario (25% in growth years, with a drawdown every four years), BNB reaches $4,751 by 2040. A scenario, not a forecast.
BNB against other assets
- 200-Week Moving Average Risk — Composite SMA Risk, BTC pair
- Price Forecast — Price Forecast And Analysis, BTC pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Gravity Analysis, BTC pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Twap Gravity, BTC pair
- Valuation Bands — Valuation Bands, BTC pair
- 200-Week Moving Average Risk — Composite SMA Risk, ETH pair
- Price Forecast — Price Forecast And Analysis, ETH pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Gravity Analysis, ETH pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Twap Gravity, ETH pair
- Valuation Bands — Valuation Bands, ETH pair
How does BNB's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 120 weekly readings from 2024-07-14 to 2026-11-09, BNB's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 80% above to 358% above, with a median of 169% above. Today it is 112% above. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 37% below to 55% above over 120 weeks from 2024-07-07 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 15% below; today it is 6% below.
How does BNB's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
BNB's Gravity Risk of 11.2 is the 18th highest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 112% above, it is the 4th highest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
BNB's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for BNB since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.