BNB against its 20-week moving average: risk level

BNB Risk Matrix

$687.6300 | Risk: 0.30

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:53 UTC

📈 BNB Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $486.7056
Level 0.05 $520.6648
Level 0.10 $554.6239
Level 0.15 $588.5831
Level 0.20 $622.5423
Level 0.25 $656.5015
Level 0.30 $690.4607
Level 0.35 $724.4199
Level 0.40 $758.3790
Level 0.45 $792.3382
Level 0.50 $826.2974
Level 0.55 $860.2566
Level 0.60 $894.2158
Level 0.65 $928.1750
Level 0.70 $962.1341
Level 0.75 $996.0933
Level 0.80 $1,030.0525
Level 0.85 $1,064.0117
Level 0.90 $1,097.9709
Level 0.95 $1,131.9300
Level 1.00 $1,165.8892

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes BNB's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what BNB's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.