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Ethena (ENA) research
Every model we publish for Ethena — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Ethena key levels today
The headline figure from each of Ethena's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $0.40 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 12.8 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Regression floor | $0.059 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $0.091 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $0.20 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 44.1% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.37 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
Is Ethena overvalued right now?
Ethena trades 61% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 12.8/100.
Where is Ethena against its 200-week moving average?
Ethena at $0.15 has under 200 weeks of history, so no 200-week moving average yet. Macro risk score 44.1%.
What is Ethena's 20-week moving-average risk level?
Ethena at $0.15 sits at risk level 0.37 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is Ethena against its DCA fair value?
Ethena sits 69% above its regression fair value of $0.091.
Ethena against other assets
How does Ethena's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 107 weekly readings from 2024-10-13 to 2026-11-09, Ethena's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 84% below to 115% above, with a median of 46% below. Today it is 61% below. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 64% below to 265% above over 106 weeks from 2024-10-13 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 3% below; today it is 69% above.
How does Ethena's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
Ethena's Gravity Risk of 12.8 is tied for the 14th highest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 61% below, it is the 32nd highest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
Ethena's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for Ethena since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.