CryptoWeeklies / Reports / BCH
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) research
Every model we publish for Bitcoin Cash — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Bitcoin Cash key levels today
The headline figure from each of Bitcoin Cash's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $424 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 28.1 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $354.04 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $312.85 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $529.88 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $1,253.31 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 23.1% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.47 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | -53.98% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $226.70 (68% range $121.57 to $452.34) | Price Forecast |
| Base scenario value by 2040 | $1,675 | Retirement CAGR Model |
Is Bitcoin Cash overvalued right now?
Bitcoin Cash trades 43% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 28.1/100.
Where is Bitcoin Cash against its 200-week moving average?
Bitcoin Cash is 31.6% below its 200-week moving average of $354.04, at $242.21. Macro risk score 23.1%.
What is Bitcoin Cash's 20-week moving-average risk level?
Bitcoin Cash at $241.38 sits at risk level 0.47 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is Bitcoin Cash against its DCA fair value?
Bitcoin Cash sits 54% below its regression fair value of $529.88.
Is Bitcoin Cash above or below its log regression fair value?
Bitcoin Cash is 54% below its log regression fair value.
Is Bitcoin Cash in accumulation or euphoria on the rainbow chart?
Where Bitcoin Cash sits between accumulation and euphoria, on rainbow bands.
What does the model forecast for the Bitcoin Cash price?
Bitcoin Cash model base target $226.70, with a 68% range of $121.57 to $452.34.
How much Bitcoin Cash do you need to retire?
In the base scenario (25% in growth years, with a drawdown every four years), Bitcoin Cash reaches $1,675 by 2040. A scenario, not a forecast.
Bitcoin Cash against other assets
- 200-Week Moving Average Risk — Composite SMA Risk, BTC pair
- Price Forecast — Price Forecast And Analysis, BTC pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Gravity Analysis, BTC pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Twap Gravity, BTC pair
- Valuation Bands — Valuation Bands, BTC pair
- 200-Week Moving Average Risk — Composite SMA Risk, ETH pair
- Price Forecast — Price Forecast And Analysis, ETH pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Gravity Analysis, ETH pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Twap Gravity, ETH pair
- Valuation Bands — Valuation Bands, ETH pair
How does Bitcoin Cash's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 120 weekly readings from 2024-07-14 to 2026-11-09, Bitcoin Cash's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 55% below to 51% above, with a median of 2% below. Today it is 43% below. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 71% below to 10% above over 120 weeks from 2024-07-07 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 51% below; today it is 54% below.
How does Bitcoin Cash's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
Bitcoin Cash's Gravity Risk of 28.1 is the 2nd highest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 43% below, it is the 25th highest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
Bitcoin Cash's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for Bitcoin Cash since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.