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Utilities Sector ETF (XLU) research
Every model we publish for Utilities Sector ETF — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Utilities Sector ETF key levels today
The headline figure from each of Utilities Sector ETF's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $36.37 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 68.0 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $36.41 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Accumulation line (-1σ) | $44.03 | Valuation Bands |
| Valuation-band fair value | $46.19 | Valuation Bands |
| Distribution line (+1σ) | $48.46 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Deep Capitulation (-2σ) | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 69.8% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $44.15 (68% range $34.60 to $60.61) | Price Forecast |
Is Utilities Sector ETF overvalued right now?
Utilities Sector ETF trades 21% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 68.0/100.
Where is Utilities Sector ETF against its 200-week moving average?
Utilities Sector ETF is 20.5% above its 200-week moving average of $36.41, at $43.87. Macro risk score 69.8%.
What are Utilities Sector ETF's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Utilities Sector ETF fair value $46.19; the phase detector reads Deep Capitulation (-2σ), 32.0% through the phase.
What does the model forecast for the Utilities Sector ETF price?
Utilities Sector ETF model base target $44.15 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $34.60 to $60.61.
How does Utilities Sector ETF's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Utilities Sector ETF's moving-average risk score ranged from 35.2 to 69.8 (69.8 today) and its phase completion ranged from 0% to 32% (32% today).
How does Utilities Sector ETF's Gravity Risk compare with other U.S. market ETFs?
Utilities Sector ETF's Gravity Risk of 68 is the 5th lowest of the 15 U.S. market ETFs we track, against a median of 70.2. The lowest reading today is Communication Services Sector ETF at 52.5 and the highest is Financial Sector ETF at 88.1. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 21% above, it is the 3rd lowest of the 15, against a median of 29% above.