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Consumer Staples Sector ETF (XLP) research
Every model we publish for Consumer Staples Sector ETF — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Consumer Staples Sector ETF key levels today
The headline figure from each of Consumer Staples Sector ETF's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $74.80 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 70.6 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $74.88 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Accumulation line (-1σ) | $80.96 | Valuation Bands |
| Valuation-band fair value | $83.48 | Valuation Bands |
| Distribution line (+1σ) | $86.08 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Max Euphoria (+3σ) | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 91.4% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $92.98 (68% range $86.70 to $99.20) | Price Forecast |
Is Consumer Staples Sector ETF overvalued right now?
Consumer Staples Sector ETF trades 21% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 70.6/100.
Where is Consumer Staples Sector ETF against its 200-week moving average?
Consumer Staples Sector ETF is 20.9% above its 200-week moving average of $74.88, at $90.54. Macro risk score 91.4%.
What are Consumer Staples Sector ETF's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Consumer Staples Sector ETF fair value $83.48; the phase detector reads Max Euphoria (+3σ), 94.1% through the phase.
What does the model forecast for the Consumer Staples Sector ETF price?
Consumer Staples Sector ETF model base target $92.98 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $86.70 to $99.20.
How does Consumer Staples Sector ETF's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Consumer Staples Sector ETF's moving-average risk score ranged from 49.5 to 93.4 (91.4 today) and its phase completion ranged from 40.7% to 97.4% (94.1% today).
How does Consumer Staples Sector ETF's Gravity Risk compare with other U.S. market ETFs?
Consumer Staples Sector ETF's Gravity Risk of 70.6 is the 7th highest of the 15 U.S. market ETFs we track, against a median of 70.2. The lowest reading today is Communication Services Sector ETF at 52.5 and the highest is Financial Sector ETF at 88.1. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 21% above, it is the 4th lowest of the 15, against a median of 29% above.