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Materials Sector ETF (XLB) research
Every model we publish for Materials Sector ETF — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Materials Sector ETF key levels today
The headline figure from each of Materials Sector ETF's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $43.38 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 70.2 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $43.43 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Accumulation line (-1σ) | $45.00 | Valuation Bands |
| Valuation-band fair value | $47.93 | Valuation Bands |
| Distribution line (+1σ) | $51.06 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Extreme Bubble (+2σ) | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 84.1% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $54.56 (68% range $50.15 to $58.75) | Price Forecast |
Is Materials Sector ETF overvalued right now?
Materials Sector ETF trades 22% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 70.2/100.
Where is Materials Sector ETF against its 200-week moving average?
Materials Sector ETF is 22.1% above its 200-week moving average of $43.43, at $53.03. Macro risk score 84.1%.
What are Materials Sector ETF's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Materials Sector ETF fair value $47.93; the phase detector reads Extreme Bubble (+2σ), 76.6% through the phase.
What does the model forecast for the Materials Sector ETF price?
Materials Sector ETF model base target $54.56 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $50.15 to $58.75.
How does Materials Sector ETF's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Materials Sector ETF's moving-average risk score ranged from 52.9 to 87.8 (84.1 today) and its phase completion ranged from 59% to 80.4% (76.6% today).
How does Materials Sector ETF's Gravity Risk compare with other U.S. market ETFs?
Materials Sector ETF's Gravity Risk of 70.2 is the 8th lowest of the 15 U.S. market ETFs we track, against a median of 70.2. The lowest reading today is Communication Services Sector ETF at 52.5 and the highest is Financial Sector ETF at 88.1. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 22% above, it is the 5th lowest of the 15, against a median of 29% above.