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Oracle (ORCL) research
Every model we publish for Oracle — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Oracle key levels today
The headline figure from each of Oracle's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $148.87 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 8.4 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $148.94 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Accumulation line (-1σ) | $172.77 | Valuation Bands |
| Valuation-band fair value | $195.84 | Valuation Bands |
| Distribution line (+1σ) | $222.00 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Max Despair (-3σ) | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 24.0% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $119.40 (68% range $88.90 to $163.49) | Price Forecast |
Is Oracle overvalued right now?
Oracle trades 20% below its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 8.4/100.
Where is Oracle against its 200-week moving average?
Oracle is 20.0% below its 200-week moving average of $148.94, at $119.22. Macro risk score 24.0%.
What are Oracle's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Oracle fair value $195.84; the phase detector reads Max Despair (-3σ), 0.0% through the phase.
What does the model forecast for the Oracle price?
Oracle model base target $119.40 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $88.90 to $163.49.
How does Oracle's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Oracle's moving-average risk score ranged from 23.3 to 48.1 (24 today) and its phase completion ranged from 0% to 14.3% (0% today).
How does Oracle's Gravity Risk compare with other AI infrastructure stocks?
Oracle's Gravity Risk of 8.4 is the 4th lowest of the 32 AI infrastructure stocks we track, against a median of 31.4. The lowest reading today is CoreWeave at 0 and the highest is Riskified at 98.3. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 20% below, it is the 6th lowest of the 32, against a median of 40% above.