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Vistra Corp (VST) research
Every model we publish for Vistra Corp — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Vistra Corp key levels today
The headline figure from each of Vistra Corp's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $108.15 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 13.5 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $108.65 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Accumulation line (-1σ) | $241.15 | Valuation Bands |
| Valuation-band fair value | $296.96 | Valuation Bands |
| Distribution line (+1σ) | $365.69 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Max Despair (-3σ) | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 34.8% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $159.29 (68% range $98.59 to $294.30) | Price Forecast |
Is Vistra Corp overvalued right now?
Vistra Corp trades 23% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 13.5/100.
Where is Vistra Corp against its 200-week moving average?
Vistra Corp is 22.9% above its 200-week moving average of $108.65, at $133.50. Macro risk score 34.8%.
What are Vistra Corp's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Vistra Corp fair value $296.96; the phase detector reads Max Despair (-3σ), 0.0% through the phase.
What does the model forecast for the Vistra Corp price?
Vistra Corp model base target $159.29 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $98.59 to $294.30.
How does Vistra Corp's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Vistra Corp's moving-average risk score ranged from 28.7 to 66 (34.8 today) and its phase completion ranged from 0% to 0% (0% today).
How does Vistra Corp's Gravity Risk compare with other AI infrastructure stocks?
Vistra Corp's Gravity Risk of 13.5 is the 6th lowest of the 32 AI infrastructure stocks we track, against a median of 31.4. The lowest reading today is CoreWeave at 0 and the highest is Riskified at 98.3. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 23% above, it is the 9th lowest of the 32, against a median of 40% above.