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Consumer Discretionary Sector ETF (XLY) research
Every model we publish for Consumer Discretionary Sector ETF — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Consumer Discretionary Sector ETF key levels today
The headline figure from each of Consumer Discretionary Sector ETF's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $98.31 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 66.4 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $98.56 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Valuation-band fair value | $122.22 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Bear Market / Accumulation | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 81.6% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $125.42 (68% range $109.84 to $141.81) | Price Forecast |
Is Consumer Discretionary Sector ETF overvalued right now?
Consumer Discretionary Sector ETF trades 23% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 66.4/100.
Where is Consumer Discretionary Sector ETF against its 200-week moving average?
Consumer Discretionary Sector ETF is 22.9% above its 200-week moving average of $98.56, at $121.10. Macro risk score 81.6%.
What are Consumer Discretionary Sector ETF's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Consumer Discretionary Sector ETF fair value $122.22, with accumulation floor and euphoria ceiling.
What does the model forecast for the Consumer Discretionary Sector ETF price?
Consumer Discretionary Sector ETF model base target $125.42 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $109.84 to $141.81.
How does Consumer Discretionary Sector ETF's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Consumer Discretionary Sector ETF's moving-average risk score ranged from 38.7 to 81.6 (81.6 today).
How does Consumer Discretionary Sector ETF's Gravity Risk compare with other U.S. market ETFs?
Consumer Discretionary Sector ETF's Gravity Risk of 66.4 is the 4th lowest of the 15 U.S. market ETFs we track, against a median of 70.2. The lowest reading today is Communication Services Sector ETF at 52.5 and the highest is Financial Sector ETF at 88.1. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 23% above, it is the 6th lowest of the 15, against a median of 29% above.