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Block (XYZ) research
Every model we publish for Block — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Block key levels today
The headline figure from each of Block's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $103.41 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 32.3 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $69.22 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Accumulation line (-1σ) | $48.82 | Valuation Bands |
| Valuation-band fair value | $64.03 | Valuation Bands |
| Distribution line (+1σ) | $83.97 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Extreme Bubble (+2σ) | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 88.2% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $96.09 (68% range $58.70 to $426.80) | Price Forecast |
Is Block overvalued right now?
Block trades 15% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 32.3/100.
Where is Block against its 200-week moving average?
Block is 27.6% above its 200-week moving average of $69.22, at $88.32. Macro risk score 88.2%.
What are Block's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Block fair value $64.03; the phase detector reads Extreme Bubble (+2σ), 69.8% through the phase.
What does the model forecast for the Block price?
Block model base target $96.09 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $58.70 to $426.80.
How does Block's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Block's moving-average risk score ranged from 47.9 to 88.2 (88.2 today) and its phase completion ranged from 60.1% to 69.8% (69.8% today).
How does Block's Gravity Risk compare with other Bitcoin-linked stocks and funds?
Block's Gravity Risk of 32.3 is the 4th highest of the 18 Bitcoin-linked stocks and funds we track, against a median of 16.9. The lowest reading today is Argo Blockchain at 0 and the highest is TeraWulf at 42.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 15% below, it is the 8th lowest of the 18, against a median of 8% below.