CryptoWeeklies / Reports / COIN
Coinbase (COIN) research
Every model we publish for Coinbase — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Coinbase key levels today
The headline figure from each of Coinbase's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $183.51 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 26.7 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $190.15 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Accumulation line (-1σ) | $227.96 | Valuation Bands |
| Valuation-band fair value | $335.40 | Valuation Bands |
| Distribution line (+1σ) | $493.49 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Max Despair (-3σ) | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 22.9% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $122.02 (68% range $39.37 to $227.21) | Price Forecast |
Is Coinbase overvalued right now?
Coinbase trades 25% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 26.7/100.
Where is Coinbase against its 200-week moving average?
Coinbase is 27.7% below its 200-week moving average of $190.15, at $137.52. Macro risk score 22.9%.
What are Coinbase's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Coinbase fair value $335.40; the phase detector reads Max Despair (-3σ), 11.5% through the phase.
What does the model forecast for the Coinbase price?
Coinbase model base target $122.02 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $39.37 to $227.21.
How does Coinbase's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Coinbase's moving-average risk score ranged from 22.5 to 58.7 (22.9 today) and its phase completion ranged from 10.9% to 24.3% (11.5% today).
How does Coinbase's Gravity Risk compare with other Bitcoin-linked stocks and funds?
Coinbase's Gravity Risk of 26.7 is the 5th highest of the 18 Bitcoin-linked stocks and funds we track, against a median of 16.9. The lowest reading today is Argo Blockchain at 0 and the highest is TeraWulf at 42.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 25% below, it is the 7th lowest of the 18, against a median of 8% below.