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Financial Sector ETF (XLF) research
Every model we publish for Financial Sector ETF — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Financial Sector ETF key levels today
The headline figure from each of Financial Sector ETF's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $44.27 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 88.1 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $44.36 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Valuation-band fair value | $57.62 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Bull Phase Expansion | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 83.2% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $60.51 (68% range $54.59 to $66.79) | Price Forecast |
Is Financial Sector ETF overvalued right now?
Financial Sector ETF trades 31% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 88.1/100.
Where is Financial Sector ETF against its 200-week moving average?
Financial Sector ETF is 30.8% above its 200-week moving average of $44.36, at $58.01. Macro risk score 83.2%.
What are Financial Sector ETF's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Financial Sector ETF fair value $57.62, with accumulation floor and euphoria ceiling.
What does the model forecast for the Financial Sector ETF price?
Financial Sector ETF model base target $60.51 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $54.59 to $66.79.
How does Financial Sector ETF's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Financial Sector ETF's moving-average risk score ranged from 60.4 to 84.1 (83.2 today).
How does Financial Sector ETF's Gravity Risk compare with other U.S. market ETFs?
Financial Sector ETF's Gravity Risk of 88.1 is the highest of the 15 U.S. market ETFs we track, against a median of 70.2. The lowest reading today is Communication Services Sector ETF at 52.5 and the highest is Financial Sector ETF at 88.1. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 31% above, it is the 7th highest of the 15, against a median of 29% above.