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PayPal (PYPL) research

Every model we publish for PayPal — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.

PayPal key levels today

The headline figure from each of PayPal's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.

Lifetime TWAP$110.16TWAP / Gravity Risk
Gravity Risk (0-100)16.3TWAP / Gravity Risk
200-week moving average$63.98200-Week Moving Average Risk
Valuation-band fair value$49.51Valuation Bands
Detected market phaseBull Phase ExpansionValuation Bands
Moving-average risk score54.5%200-Week Moving Average Risk
Forecast base target$58.95 (68% range $45.56 to $82.42)Price Forecast

Is PayPal overvalued right now?

PayPal trades 45% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 16.3/100.

Where is PayPal against its 200-week moving average?

PayPal is 6.0% below its 200-week moving average of $63.98, at $60.15. Macro risk score 54.5%.

What are PayPal's fair value, floor and ceiling?

PayPal fair value $49.51, with accumulation floor and euphoria ceiling.

What does the model forecast for the PayPal price?

PayPal model base target $58.95 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $45.56 to $82.42.

How does PayPal's reading today compare with its own history?

Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, PayPal's moving-average risk score ranged from 38.1 to 54.5 (54.5 today).

How does PayPal's Gravity Risk compare with other Bitcoin-linked stocks and funds?

PayPal's Gravity Risk of 16.3 is the 9th lowest of the 18 Bitcoin-linked stocks and funds we track, against a median of 16.9. The lowest reading today is Argo Blockchain at 0 and the highest is TeraWulf at 42.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 45% below, it is the 5th lowest of the 18, against a median of 8% below.

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