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ARM Holdings (ARM) research
Every model we publish for ARM Holdings — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
ARM Holdings key levels today
The headline figure from each of ARM Holdings's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $150.72 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 18.7 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $150.64 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Valuation-band fair value | $230.38 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Bear Market / Accumulation | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 43.8% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $222.28 (68% range $120.62 to $400.78) | Price Forecast |
Is ARM Holdings overvalued right now?
ARM Holdings trades 25% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 18.7/100.
Where is ARM Holdings against its 200-week moving average?
ARM Holdings is 24.9% above its 200-week moving average of $150.64, at $188.12. Macro risk score 43.8%.
What are ARM Holdings's fair value, floor and ceiling?
ARM Holdings fair value $230.38, with accumulation floor and euphoria ceiling.
What does the model forecast for the ARM Holdings price?
ARM Holdings model base target $222.28 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $120.62 to $400.78.
How does ARM Holdings's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 43 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, ARM Holdings's moving-average risk score ranged from 42.9 to 82.7 (43.8 today).
How does ARM Holdings's Gravity Risk compare with other AI infrastructure stocks?
ARM Holdings's Gravity Risk of 18.7 is the 8th lowest of the 32 AI infrastructure stocks we track, against a median of 31.4. The lowest reading today is CoreWeave at 0 and the highest is Riskified at 98.3. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 25% above, it is the 10th lowest of the 32, against a median of 40% above.