CryptoWeeklies / Reports / NBIS
Nebula (NBIS) research
Every model we publish for Nebula — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Nebula key levels today
The headline figure from each of Nebula's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $104.11 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 22.8 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $103.97 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Accumulation line (-1σ) | $194.18 | Valuation Bands |
| Valuation-band fair value | $243.50 | Valuation Bands |
| Distribution line (+1σ) | $305.35 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Max Despair (-3σ) | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 45.1% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $217.58 (68% range $116.23 to $385.69) | Price Forecast |
Is Nebula overvalued right now?
Nebula trades 35% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 22.8/100.
Where is Nebula against its 200-week moving average?
Nebula is 35.6% above its 200-week moving average of $103.97, at $140.98. Macro risk score 45.1%.
What are Nebula's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Nebula fair value $243.50; the phase detector reads Max Despair (-3σ), 9.8% through the phase.
What does the model forecast for the Nebula price?
Nebula model base target $217.58 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $116.23 to $385.69.
How does Nebula's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 43 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Nebula's moving-average risk score ranged from 43.1 to 82.7 (45.1 today) and its phase completion ranged from 4.6% to 44.8% (9.8% today).
How does Nebula's Gravity Risk compare with other AI infrastructure stocks?
Nebula's Gravity Risk of 22.8 is the 10th lowest of the 32 AI infrastructure stocks we track, against a median of 31.4. The lowest reading today is CoreWeave at 0 and the highest is Riskified at 98.3. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 35% above, it is the 15th lowest of the 32, against a median of 40% above.