Nebula price forecast: what the model says

NBIS SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$140.98

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$217.58

Bear 68%

$116.23

Bull 68%

$385.69

68% Range Width

123.8%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $103.71 $116.88 $130.79 $146.56 $163.92 $182.41 $203.56
2026-11-29 $89.33 $106.87 $126.32 $149.42 $176.00 $205.54 $240.76
2026-12-06 $81.81 $101.83 $124.78 $152.86 $186.12 $224.09 $270.54
2026-12-13 $72.69 $94.23 $119.71 $151.83 $191.00 $236.90 $294.48
2026-12-20 $71.05 $94.83 $123.65 $160.77 $206.94 $262.07 $332.43
2026-12-27 $69.83 $95.99 $128.41 $171.08 $225.21 $291.02 $376.44
2027-01-03 $64.80 $91.56 $125.47 $170.98 $229.77 $302.45 $398.23
2027-01-10 $55.21 $80.65 $113.72 $159.14 $219.12 $294.68 $396.07
2027-01-17 $51.13 $76.65 $110.52 $157.91 $221.52 $302.86 $413.49
2027-01-24 $50.77 $77.84 $114.39 $166.33 $237.03 $328.56 $454.48
2027-01-31 $49.27 $77.19 $115.53 $170.81 $247.07 $346.99 $485.91
2027-02-07 $46.28 $74.28 $113.45 $170.86 $251.22 $357.88 $507.91
2027-02-14 $45.16 $74.24 $115.69 $177.43 $265.11 $382.95 $550.62
2027-02-21 $43.10 $72.69 $115.68 $180.79 $274.66 $402.47 $586.47
2027-02-28 $41.56 $71.72 $116.29 $184.83 $284.95 $422.86 $623.43
2027-03-07 $38.63 $68.43 $113.36 $183.63 $287.84 $433.22 $647.14
2027-03-14 $39.03 $70.38 $118.30 $194.12 $307.69 $467.53 $704.53
2027-03-21 $39.69 $72.82 $124.13 $206.21 $330.35 $506.51 $769.62
2027-03-28 $37.46 $70.32 $122.08 $206.09 $334.75 $519.27 $797.49
2027-04-04 $32.29 $62.56 $111.38 $192.22 $318.15 $501.40 $781.28
2027-04-11 $30.23 $59.97 $108.78 $190.77 $320.10 $510.31 $803.48
2027-04-18 $30.58 $61.62 $113.18 $200.64 $339.77 $545.83 $865.39
2027-04-25 $30.00 $61.58 $114.73 $205.90 $352.29 $570.83 $912.12
2027-05-02 $28.46 $59.69 $113.11 $205.96 $356.72 $583.89 $941.55
2027-05-09 $28.11 $60.15 $115.78 $213.65 $374.20 $618.19 $1,005.17
2027-05-16 $27.13 $59.37 $116.23 $217.58 $385.69 $643.52 $1,055.71

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.