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Bit Digital (BTBT) research
Every model we publish for Bit Digital — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Bit Digital key levels today
The headline figure from each of Bit Digital's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $3.88 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 1.4 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $2.52 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Accumulation line (-1σ) | $0.81 | Valuation Bands |
| Valuation-band fair value | $1.37 | Valuation Bands |
| Distribution line (+1σ) | $2.31 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Deep Capitulation (-2σ) | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 12.6% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $0.7574 (68% range $0.35 to $1.72) | Price Forecast |
Is Bit Digital overvalued right now?
Bit Digital trades 80% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 1.4/100.
Where is Bit Digital against its 200-week moving average?
Bit Digital is 69.4% below its 200-week moving average of $2.52, at $0.77. Macro risk score 12.6%.
What are Bit Digital's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Bit Digital fair value $1.37; the phase detector reads Deep Capitulation (-2σ), 31.7% through the phase.
What does the model forecast for the Bit Digital price?
Bit Digital model base target $0.7574 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $0.35 to $1.72.
How does Bit Digital's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Bit Digital's moving-average risk score ranged from 11.3 to 42.5 (12.6 today) and its phase completion ranged from 29.5% to 55.3% (31.7% today).
How does Bit Digital's Gravity Risk compare with other Bitcoin-linked stocks and funds?
Bit Digital's Gravity Risk of 1.4 is the 2nd lowest of the 18 Bitcoin-linked stocks and funds we track, against a median of 16.9. The lowest reading today is Argo Blockchain at 0 and the highest is TeraWulf at 42.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 80% below, it is the 2nd lowest of the 18, against a median of 8% below.