Bit Digital price forecast: what the model says

BTBT SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$0.7726

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$0.7574

Bear 68%

$0.3529

Bull 68%

$1.72

68% Range Width

180.0%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $0.5452 $0.6156 $0.6924 $0.7825 $0.8855 $0.9998 $1.14
2026-11-29 $0.4382 $0.5312 $0.6406 $0.7795 $0.9518 $1.16 $1.43
2026-12-06 $0.3868 $0.4916 $0.6216 $0.7954 $1.02 $1.31 $1.72
2026-12-13 $0.3495 $0.4618 $0.6070 $0.8099 $1.09 $1.46 $2.01
2026-12-20 $0.3209 $0.4385 $0.5962 $0.8252 $1.15 $1.61 $2.31
2026-12-27 $0.3001 $0.4226 $0.5922 $0.8474 $1.23 $1.78 $2.65
2027-01-03 $0.2705 $0.3908 $0.5623 $0.8282 $1.24 $1.85 $2.86
2027-01-10 $0.2414 $0.3569 $0.5258 $0.7947 $1.22 $1.88 $3.00
2027-01-17 $0.2173 $0.3282 $0.4941 $0.7650 $1.21 $1.91 $3.14
2027-01-24 $0.2005 $0.3090 $0.4751 $0.7530 $1.22 $1.98 $3.36
2027-01-31 $0.1869 $0.2936 $0.4606 $0.7464 $1.24 $2.06 $3.60
2027-02-07 $0.1804 $0.2891 $0.4629 $0.7674 $1.30 $2.23 $4.02
2027-02-14 $0.1702 $0.2781 $0.4543 $0.7705 $1.34 $2.35 $4.38
2027-02-21 $0.1600 $0.2662 $0.4434 $0.7684 $1.37 $2.47 $4.72
2027-02-28 $0.1537 $0.2606 $0.4425 $0.7839 $1.43 $2.65 $5.22
2027-03-07 $0.1478 $0.2551 $0.4412 $0.7983 $1.49 $2.83 $5.75
2027-03-14 $0.1425 $0.2501 $0.4404 $0.8133 $1.55 $3.02 $6.33
2027-03-21 $0.1385 $0.2472 $0.4431 $0.8351 $1.63 $3.26 $7.01
2027-03-28 $0.1293 $0.2340 $0.4258 $0.8163 $1.63 $3.31 $7.32
2027-04-04 $0.1190 $0.2181 $0.4023 $0.7832 $1.59 $3.30 $7.45
2027-04-11 $0.1100 $0.2042 $0.3816 $0.7541 $1.56 $3.29 $7.60
2027-04-18 $0.1038 $0.1952 $0.3697 $0.7422 $1.56 $3.36 $7.95
2027-04-25 $0.0987 $0.1879 $0.3608 $0.7358 $1.57 $3.46 $8.38
2027-05-02 $0.0968 $0.1870 $0.3644 $0.7564 $1.65 $3.71 $9.23
2027-05-09 $0.0929 $0.1819 $0.3597 $0.7594 $1.69 $3.88 $9.91
2027-05-16 $0.0887 $0.1759 $0.3529 $0.7574 $1.72 $4.03 $10.56

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.