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Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) research
Every model we publish for Invesco QQQ Trust — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Invesco QQQ Trust key levels today
The headline figure from each of Invesco QQQ Trust's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $499.98 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 73.6 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $501.47 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression ceiling | $989.06 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Accumulation line (-1σ) | $681.87 | Valuation Bands |
| Valuation-band fair value | $740.23 | Valuation Bands |
| Distribution line (+1σ) | $803.60 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Deep Capitulation (-2σ) | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 55.1% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $733.99 (68% range $617.32 to $877.05) | Price Forecast |
Is Invesco QQQ Trust overvalued right now?
Invesco QQQ Trust trades 35% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 73.6/100.
Where is Invesco QQQ Trust against its 200-week moving average?
Invesco QQQ Trust is 35.0% above its 200-week moving average of $501.47, at $677.13. Macro risk score 55.1%.
Where is Invesco QQQ Trust against its DCA fair value?
Invesco QQQ Trust sits 57% above its regression fair value.
What are Invesco QQQ Trust's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Invesco QQQ Trust fair value $740.23; the phase detector reads Deep Capitulation (-2σ), 31.9% through the phase.
What does the model forecast for the Invesco QQQ Trust price?
Invesco QQQ Trust model base target $733.99 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $617.32 to $877.05.
How does Invesco QQQ Trust's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Invesco QQQ Trust's moving-average risk score ranged from 52.9 to 88.8 (55.1 today) and its phase completion ranged from 31% to 58.3% (31.9% today). Against its regression fair value it ranged from 33% above to 86% above over 27 weeks from 2025-12-11 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 67% above; today it is 57% above.
How does Invesco QQQ Trust's Gravity Risk compare with other U.S. market ETFs?
Invesco QQQ Trust's Gravity Risk of 73.6 is the 5th highest of the 15 U.S. market ETFs we track, against a median of 70.2. The lowest reading today is Communication Services Sector ETF at 52.5 and the highest is Financial Sector ETF at 88.1. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 35% above, it is the 4th highest of the 15, against a median of 29% above.