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Energy Sector ETF (XLE) research
Every model we publish for Energy Sector ETF — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Energy Sector ETF key levels today
The headline figure from each of Energy Sector ETF's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $44.54 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 68.7 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $44.58 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Accumulation line (-1σ) | $47.66 | Valuation Bands |
| Valuation-band fair value | $52.68 | Valuation Bands |
| Distribution line (+1σ) | $58.23 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Extreme Bubble (+2σ) | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 74.4% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $65.14 (68% range $57.74 to $72.67) | Price Forecast |
Is Energy Sector ETF overvalued right now?
Energy Sector ETF trades 39% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 68.7/100.
Where is Energy Sector ETF against its 200-week moving average?
Energy Sector ETF is 39.3% above its 200-week moving average of $44.58, at $62.12. Macro risk score 74.4%.
What are Energy Sector ETF's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Energy Sector ETF fair value $52.68; the phase detector reads Extreme Bubble (+2σ), 77.4% through the phase.
What does the model forecast for the Energy Sector ETF price?
Energy Sector ETF model base target $65.14 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $57.74 to $72.67.
How does Energy Sector ETF's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Energy Sector ETF's moving-average risk score ranged from 74.4 to 92.4 (74.4 today) and its phase completion ranged from 77.4% to 97.3% (77.4% today).
How does Energy Sector ETF's Gravity Risk compare with other U.S. market ETFs?
Energy Sector ETF's Gravity Risk of 68.7 is the 6th lowest of the 15 U.S. market ETFs we track, against a median of 70.2. The lowest reading today is Communication Services Sector ETF at 52.5 and the highest is Financial Sector ETF at 88.1. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 39% above, it is the 3rd highest of the 15, against a median of 29% above.