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Palantir (PLTR) research
Every model we publish for Palantir — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Palantir key levels today
The headline figure from each of Palantir's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $82.65 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 34.8 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $83.14 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Accumulation line (-1σ) | $310.81 | Valuation Bands |
| Valuation-band fair value | $426.74 | Valuation Bands |
| Distribution line (+1σ) | $585.92 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Max Despair (-3σ) | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 66.0% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $238.03 (68% range $119.41 to $543.18) | Price Forecast |
Is Palantir overvalued right now?
Palantir trades 105% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 34.8/100.
Where is Palantir against its 200-week moving average?
Palantir is 103.9% above its 200-week moving average of $83.14, at $169.52. Macro risk score 66.0%.
What are Palantir's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Palantir fair value $426.74; the phase detector reads Max Despair (-3σ), 1.5% through the phase.
What does the model forecast for the Palantir price?
Palantir model base target $238.03 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $119.41 to $543.18.
How does Palantir's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Palantir's moving-average risk score ranged from 66 to 86.6 (66 today) and its phase completion ranged from 1.1% to 13.3% (1.5% today).
How does Palantir's Gravity Risk compare with other AI infrastructure stocks?
Palantir's Gravity Risk of 34.8 is the 14th highest of the 32 AI infrastructure stocks we track, against a median of 31.4. The lowest reading today is CoreWeave at 0 and the highest is Riskified at 98.3. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 105% above, it is the 6th highest of the 32, against a median of 40% above.