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Amazon (AMZN) research
Every model we publish for Amazon — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Amazon key levels today
The headline figure from each of Amazon's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $190.49 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 29.8 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $191.17 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Valuation-band fair value | $284.62 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Bear Market / Accumulation | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 83.1% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $280.69 (68% range $233.99 to $331.71) | Price Forecast |
Is Amazon overvalued right now?
Amazon trades 41% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 29.8/100.
Where is Amazon against its 200-week moving average?
Amazon is 40.5% above its 200-week moving average of $191.17, at $268.58. Macro risk score 83.1%.
What are Amazon's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Amazon fair value $284.62, with accumulation floor and euphoria ceiling.
What does the model forecast for the Amazon price?
Amazon model base target $280.69 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $233.99 to $331.71.
How does Amazon's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Amazon's moving-average risk score ranged from 59.5 to 83.1 (83.1 today).
How does Amazon's Gravity Risk compare with other AI infrastructure stocks?
Amazon's Gravity Risk of 29.8 is the 12th lowest of the 32 AI infrastructure stocks we track, against a median of 31.4. The lowest reading today is CoreWeave at 0 and the highest is Riskified at 98.3. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 41% above, it is the 16th highest of the 32, against a median of 40% above.