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Industrial Sector ETF (XLI) research

Every model we publish for Industrial Sector ETF — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.

Industrial Sector ETF key levels today

The headline figure from each of Industrial Sector ETF's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.

200-week TWAP$132.64TWAP / Gravity Risk
Gravity Risk (0-100)77.9TWAP / Gravity Risk
200-week moving average$132.88200-Week Moving Average Risk
Accumulation line (-1σ)$170.69Valuation Bands
Valuation-band fair value$181.23Valuation Bands
Distribution line (+1σ)$192.42Valuation Bands
Detected market phaseDeep Capitulation (-2σ)Valuation Bands
Moving-average risk score58.8%200-Week Moving Average Risk
Forecast base target$177.85 (68% range $157.46 to $200.85)Price Forecast

Is Industrial Sector ETF overvalued right now?

Industrial Sector ETF trades 27% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 77.9/100.

Where is Industrial Sector ETF against its 200-week moving average?

Industrial Sector ETF is 27.0% above its 200-week moving average of $132.88, at $168.79. Macro risk score 58.8%.

What are Industrial Sector ETF's fair value, floor and ceiling?

Industrial Sector ETF fair value $181.23; the phase detector reads Deep Capitulation (-2σ), 30.2% through the phase.

What does the model forecast for the Industrial Sector ETF price?

Industrial Sector ETF model base target $177.85 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $157.46 to $200.85.

How does Industrial Sector ETF's reading today compare with its own history?

Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Industrial Sector ETF's moving-average risk score ranged from 52.1 to 64.6 (58.8 today) and its phase completion ranged from 24.4% to 43.7% (30.2% today).

How does Industrial Sector ETF's Gravity Risk compare with other U.S. market ETFs?

Industrial Sector ETF's Gravity Risk of 77.9 is the 3rd highest of the 15 U.S. market ETFs we track, against a median of 70.2. The lowest reading today is Communication Services Sector ETF at 52.5 and the highest is Financial Sector ETF at 88.1. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 27% above, it is the 7th lowest of the 15, against a median of 29% above.

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