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Technology Sector ETF (XLK) research
Every model we publish for Technology Sector ETF — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Technology Sector ETF key levels today
The headline figure from each of Technology Sector ETF's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $118.19 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 77.7 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $118.56 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Valuation-band fair value | $181.48 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Bear Market / Accumulation | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 55.9% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $188.44 (68% range $154.01 to $232.91) | Price Forecast |
Is Technology Sector ETF overvalued right now?
Technology Sector ETF trades 44% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 77.7/100.
Where is Technology Sector ETF against its 200-week moving average?
Technology Sector ETF is 43.8% above its 200-week moving average of $118.56, at $170.46. Macro risk score 55.9%.
What are Technology Sector ETF's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Technology Sector ETF fair value $181.48, with accumulation floor and euphoria ceiling.
What does the model forecast for the Technology Sector ETF price?
Technology Sector ETF model base target $188.44 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $154.01 to $232.91.
How does Technology Sector ETF's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Technology Sector ETF's moving-average risk score ranged from 55.3 to 91.2 (55.9 today).
How does Technology Sector ETF's Gravity Risk compare with other U.S. market ETFs?
Technology Sector ETF's Gravity Risk of 77.7 is the 4th highest of the 15 U.S. market ETFs we track, against a median of 70.2. The lowest reading today is Communication Services Sector ETF at 52.5 and the highest is Financial Sector ETF at 88.1. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 44% above, it is the 2nd highest of the 15, against a median of 29% above.