CryptoWeeklies / Reports / AMD
AMD (AMD) research
Every model we publish for AMD — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
AMD key levels today
The headline figure from each of AMD's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $197.62 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 75.3 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $198.85 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Accumulation line (-1σ) | $303.26 | Valuation Bands |
| Valuation-band fair value | $370.17 | Valuation Bands |
| Distribution line (+1σ) | $451.86 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Extreme Bubble (+2σ) | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 69.7% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $857.19 (68% range $311.91 to $9,587.27) | Price Forecast |
Is AMD overvalued right now?
AMD trades 153% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 75.3/100.
Where is AMD against its 200-week moving average?
AMD is 151.8% above its 200-week moving average of $198.85, at $500.63. Macro risk score 69.7%.
What are AMD's fair value, floor and ceiling?
AMD fair value $370.17; the phase detector reads Extreme Bubble (+2σ), 75.2% through the phase.
What does the model forecast for the AMD price?
AMD model base target $857.19 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $311.91 to $9,587.27.
How does AMD's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, AMD's moving-average risk score ranged from 61.8 to 95.1 (69.7 today) and its phase completion ranged from 69.3% to 100% (75.2% today).
How does AMD's Gravity Risk compare with other AI infrastructure stocks?
AMD's Gravity Risk of 75.3 is the 3rd highest of the 32 AI infrastructure stocks we track, against a median of 31.4. The lowest reading today is CoreWeave at 0 and the highest is Riskified at 98.3. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 153% above, it is the 2nd highest of the 32, against a median of 40% above.