AMD price forecast: what the model says

AMD SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$500.63

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$857.19

Bear 68%

$311.91

Bull 68%

$9,587.27

68% Range Width

1082.1%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $349.88 $391.69 $439.45 $498.72 $571.28 $658.58 $773.73
2026-11-29 $292.84 $345.32 $410.56 $499.99 $623.42 $794.81 $1,065.44
2026-12-06 $277.10 $340.96 $426.25 $554.05 $752.24 $1,072.82 $1,702.61
2026-12-13 $253.30 $320.42 $414.46 $564.46 $818.20 $1,283.12 $2,403.10
2026-12-20 $249.19 $325.18 $437.65 $631.04 $996.62 $1,794.30 $4,491.03
2026-12-27 $239.88 $320.58 $445.21 $673.06 $1,147.44 $2,373.03 $8,648.06
2027-01-03 $227.51 $309.48 $440.22 $690.97 $1,256.40 $2,961.00 $17,433.14
2027-01-10 $210.20 $288.71 $416.20 $667.43 $1,261.26 $3,236.49 $29,100.76
2027-01-17 $194.45 $268.98 $391.60 $638.20 $1,242.50 $3,419.36 $48,756.84
2027-01-24 $188.62 $264.63 $393.06 $662.33 $1,374.88 $4,460.38 $632,244.10
2027-01-31 $175.37 $247.00 $368.93 $627.62 $1,327.69 $4,539.96 $18,590,569.92
2027-02-07 $171.66 $244.94 $372.79 $655.16 $1,481.87 $6,215.92 N/A
2027-02-14 $160.30 $230.91 $356.38 $642.03 $1,531.96 $7,752.50 N/A
2027-02-21 $151.25 $220.34 $345.79 $642.13 $1,641.07 $11,017.99 N/A
2027-02-28 $150.82 $224.66 $364.76 $722.24 $2,162.89 $38,056.19 N/A
2027-03-07 $144.52 $217.75 $359.87 $737.87 $2,429.65 $124,463.58 N/A
2027-03-14 $144.95 $223.15 $381.70 $839.92 $3,428.52 N/A N/A
2027-03-21 $142.34 $222.48 $390.13 $905.79 $4,463.18 N/A N/A
2027-03-28 $137.71 $217.41 $387.64 $934.19 $5,331.30 N/A N/A
2027-04-04 $130.21 $206.06 $368.85 $896.90 $5,314.41 N/A N/A
2027-04-11 $122.95 $194.71 $348.98 $851.06 $5,105.99 N/A N/A
2027-04-18 $120.27 $192.35 $350.57 $888.86 $6,363.02 N/A N/A
2027-04-25 $113.66 $181.61 $330.45 $834.61 $5,864.65 N/A N/A
2027-05-02 $111.77 $180.35 $333.74 $877.59 $7,568.72 N/A N/A
2027-05-09 $106.15 $171.97 $320.44 $857.04 $8,128.14 N/A N/A
2027-05-16 $101.57 $165.57 $311.91 $857.19 $9,587.27 N/A N/A

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.