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Alphabet (GOOGL) research
Every model we publish for Alphabet — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Alphabet key levels today
The headline figure from each of Alphabet's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| 200-week TWAP | $202.86 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 51.1 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $203.61 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Accumulation line (-1σ) | $311.19 | Valuation Bands |
| Valuation-band fair value | $351.98 | Valuation Bands |
| Distribution line (+1σ) | $398.10 | Valuation Bands |
| Detected market phase | Deep Capitulation (-2σ) | Valuation Bands |
| Moving-average risk score | 47.2% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Forecast base target | $330.48 (68% range $254.46 to $442.28) | Price Forecast |
Is Alphabet overvalued right now?
Alphabet trades 44% above its 200-week Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 51.1/100.
Where is Alphabet against its 200-week moving average?
Alphabet is 43.0% above its 200-week moving average of $203.61, at $291.19. Macro risk score 47.2%.
What are Alphabet's fair value, floor and ceiling?
Alphabet fair value $351.98; the phase detector reads Deep Capitulation (-2σ), 24.3% through the phase.
What does the model forecast for the Alphabet price?
Alphabet model base target $330.48 by May 16, 2027, with a 68% range of $254.46 to $442.28.
How does Alphabet's reading today compare with its own history?
Across the 45 daily readings published from 2026-09-04 to 2026-11-09, Alphabet's moving-average risk score ranged from 43 to 73.3 (47.2 today) and its phase completion ranged from 18.9% to 55.8% (24.3% today).
How does Alphabet's Gravity Risk compare with other AI infrastructure stocks?
Alphabet's Gravity Risk of 51.1 is the 9th highest of the 32 AI infrastructure stocks we track, against a median of 31.4. The lowest reading today is CoreWeave at 0 and the highest is Riskified at 98.3. By premium to its 200-week TWAP, 44% above, it is the 15th highest of the 32, against a median of 40% above.