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Tellor (TRB) research
Every model we publish for Tellor — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Tellor key levels today
The headline figure from each of Tellor's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $37 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 1.3 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $44.26 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $6.27 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $15.00 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $44.09 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 42.9% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.24 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | +3.28% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $15.03 (68% range $4.59 to $41.87) | Price Forecast |
Is Tellor overvalued right now?
Tellor trades 58% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 1.3/100.
Where is Tellor against its 200-week moving average?
Tellor is 65.5% below its 200-week moving average of $44.26, at $15.28. Macro risk score 42.9%.
What is Tellor's 20-week moving-average risk level?
Tellor at $15.28 sits at risk level 0.24 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is Tellor against its DCA fair value?
Tellor sits 2% above its regression fair value of $15.00.
Is Tellor above or below its log regression fair value?
Tellor is 3% above its log regression fair value.
What does the model forecast for the Tellor price?
Tellor model base target $15.03, with a 68% range of $4.59 to $41.87.
Tellor against other assets
How does Tellor's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 120 weekly readings from 2024-07-14 to 2026-11-09, Tellor's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 65% below to 133% above, with a median of 30% below. Today it is 58% below. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 72% below to 150% above over 120 weeks from 2024-07-07 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 19% below; today it is 2% above.
How does Tellor's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
Tellor's Gravity Risk of 1.3 is tied for the 38th lowest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 58% below, it is the 30th highest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
Tellor's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for Tellor since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.