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Kaspa (KAS) research
Every model we publish for Kaspa — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Kaspa key levels today
The headline figure from each of Kaspa's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $0.067 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 1.0 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $0.077 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $0.0065 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $0.010 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $0.022 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 37.2% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.27 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | +196.84% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $0.036 (68% range $0.011 to $0.079) | Price Forecast |
Is Kaspa overvalued right now?
Kaspa trades 55% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 1.0/100.
Where is Kaspa against its 200-week moving average?
Kaspa is 61.2% below its 200-week moving average of $0.077, at $0.030. Macro risk score 37.2%.
What is Kaspa's 20-week moving-average risk level?
Kaspa at $0.030 sits at risk level 0.27 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is Kaspa against its DCA fair value?
Kaspa sits 199% above its regression fair value of $0.010.
Is Kaspa above or below its log regression fair value?
Kaspa is 197% above its log regression fair value.
What does the model forecast for the Kaspa price?
Kaspa model base target $0.036, with a 68% range of $0.011 to $0.079.
Kaspa against other assets
How does Kaspa's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 120 weekly readings from 2024-07-14 to 2026-11-09, Kaspa's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 63% below to 229% above, with a median of 4% below. Today it is 55% below. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 26% below to 345% above over 121 weeks from 2024-06-15 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 33% above; today it is 199% above.
How does Kaspa's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
Kaspa's Gravity Risk of 1 is the 35th lowest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 55% below, it is the 29th highest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
Kaspa's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for Kaspa since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.