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Hedera (HBAR) research
Every model we publish for Hedera — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Hedera key levels today
The headline figure from each of Hedera's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $0.12 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 4.0 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $0.11 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $0.029 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $0.086 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $0.27 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 29.0% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.24 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | -19.39% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $0.070 (68% range $0.031 to $0.16) | Price Forecast |
Is Hedera overvalued right now?
Hedera trades 43% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 4.0/100.
Where is Hedera against its 200-week moving average?
Hedera is 40.0% below its 200-week moving average of $0.11, at $0.068. Macro risk score 29.0%.
What is Hedera's 20-week moving-average risk level?
Hedera at $0.068 sits at risk level 0.24 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is Hedera against its DCA fair value?
Hedera sits 21% below its regression fair value of $0.086.
Is Hedera above or below its log regression fair value?
Hedera is 19% below its log regression fair value.
Is Hedera in accumulation or euphoria on the rainbow chart?
Hedera is in a bear market / accumulation phase at $0.068.
What does the model forecast for the Hedera price?
Hedera model base target $0.070, with a 68% range of $0.031 to $0.16.
Hedera against other assets
How does Hedera's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 120 weekly readings from 2024-07-14 to 2026-11-09, Hedera's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 59% below to 209% above, with a median of 10% below. Today it is 43% below. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 1464% below to 101% above over 121 weeks from 2024-06-24 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 40% below; today it is 21% below.
How does Hedera's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
Hedera's Gravity Risk of 4 is tied for the 31st highest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 43% below, it is the 26th highest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
Hedera's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for Hedera since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.