Kaspa against its 20-week moving average: risk level

KAS Risk Matrix

$0.0299 | Risk: 0.27

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:54 UTC

📈 KAS Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.005436
Level 0.05 $0.009902
Level 0.10 $0.0144
Level 0.15 $0.0188
Level 0.20 $0.0233
Level 0.25 $0.0278
Level 0.30 $0.0322
Level 0.35 $0.0367
Level 0.40 $0.0412
Level 0.45 $0.0456
Level 0.50 $0.0501
Level 0.55 $0.0546
Level 0.60 $0.0590
Level 0.65 $0.0635
Level 0.70 $0.0680
Level 0.75 $0.0724
Level 0.80 $0.0769
Level 0.85 $0.0814
Level 0.90 $0.0858
Level 0.95 $0.0903
Level 1.00 $0.0948

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes KAS's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what KAS's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.