CryptoWeeklies / Reports / LINK
Chainlink (LINK) research
Every model we publish for Chainlink — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Chainlink key levels today
The headline figure from each of Chainlink's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $11 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 6.4 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $12.92 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $2.77 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $6.54 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $19.09 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 37.3% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.36 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | +62.76% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $11.42 (68% range $5.43 to $20.04) | Price Forecast |
| Base scenario value by 2040 | $73 | Retirement CAGR Model |
Is Chainlink overvalued right now?
Chainlink trades 0% above its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 6.4/100.
Where is Chainlink against its 200-week moving average?
Chainlink is 17.5% below its 200-week moving average of $12.92, at $10.66. Macro risk score 37.3%.
What is Chainlink's 20-week moving-average risk level?
Chainlink at $10.65 sits at risk level 0.36 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is Chainlink against its DCA fair value?
Chainlink sits 63% above its regression fair value of $6.54.
Is Chainlink above or below its log regression fair value?
Chainlink is 63% above its log regression fair value.
Is Chainlink in accumulation or euphoria on the rainbow chart?
Where Chainlink sits between accumulation and euphoria, on rainbow bands.
What does the model forecast for the Chainlink price?
Chainlink model base target $11.42, with a 68% range of $5.43 to $20.04.
How much Chainlink do you need to retire?
In the base scenario (25% in growth years, with a drawdown every four years), Chainlink reaches $73 by 2040. A scenario, not a forecast.
Chainlink against other assets
- 200-Week Moving Average Risk — Composite SMA Risk, BTC pair
- Price Forecast — Price Forecast And Analysis, BTC pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Gravity Analysis, BTC pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Twap Gravity, BTC pair
- Valuation Bands — Valuation Bands, BTC pair
- 200-Week Moving Average Risk — Composite SMA Risk, ETH pair
- Price Forecast — Price Forecast And Analysis, ETH pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Gravity Analysis, ETH pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Twap Gravity, ETH pair
- Valuation Bands — Valuation Bands, ETH pair
How does Chainlink's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 120 weekly readings from 2024-07-14 to 2026-11-09, Chainlink's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 32% below to 194% above, with a median of 26% above. Today it is 0% above. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 74% below to 116% above over 120 weeks from 2024-07-07 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 52% below; today it is 63% above.
How does Chainlink's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
Chainlink's Gravity Risk of 6.4 is the 25th highest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 0% above, it is the 9th highest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
Chainlink's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for Chainlink since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.