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Solana (SOL) research
Every model we publish for Solana — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Solana key levels today
The headline figure from each of Solana's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $87 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 9.8 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $113.98 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $38.96 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $77.92 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $410.30 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 30.3% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.28 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | +12.41% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $94.41 (68% range $39.15 to $178.37) | Price Forecast |
| Base scenario value by 2040 | $600 | Retirement CAGR Model |
Is Solana overvalued right now?
Solana trades 0% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 9.8/100.
Where is Solana against its 200-week moving average?
Solana is 23.7% below its 200-week moving average of $113.98, at $86.91. Macro risk score 30.3%.
What is Solana's 20-week moving-average risk level?
Solana at $86.92 sits at risk level 0.28 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is Solana against its DCA fair value?
Solana sits 12% above its regression fair value of $77.92.
Is Solana above or below its log regression fair value?
Solana is 12% above its log regression fair value.
Is Solana in accumulation or euphoria on the rainbow chart?
Solana is in bull phase expansion at $90.05.
What does the model forecast for the Solana price?
Solana model base target $94.41, with a 68% range of $39.15 to $178.37.
How much Solana do you need to retire?
In the base scenario (25% in growth years, with a drawdown every four years), Solana reaches $600 by 2040. A scenario, not a forecast.
Solana against other assets
- 200-Week Moving Average Risk — Composite SMA Risk, BTC pair
- Price Forecast — Price Forecast And Analysis, BTC pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Gravity Analysis, BTC pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Twap Gravity, BTC pair
- Valuation Bands — Valuation Bands, BTC pair
- 200-Week Moving Average Risk — Composite SMA Risk, ETH pair
- Price Forecast — Price Forecast And Analysis, ETH pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Gravity Analysis, ETH pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Twap Gravity, ETH pair
- Valuation Bands — Valuation Bands, ETH pair
How does Solana's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 120 weekly readings from 2024-07-14 to 2026-11-09, Solana's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 26% below to 275% above, with a median of 93% above. Today it is 0% below. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 81% below to 61% above over 121 weeks from 2024-06-20 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 22% below; today it is 12% above.
How does Solana's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
Solana's Gravity Risk of 9.8 is the 20th highest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 0% below, it is the 10th highest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
Solana's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for Solana since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.