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Decentraland (MANA) research
Every model we publish for Decentraland — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Decentraland key levels today
The headline figure from each of Decentraland's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $0.45 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 0.1 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $0.32 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $0.043 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $0.087 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $0.38 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 40.8% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.31 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Forecast base target | $0.082 (68% range $0.037 to $0.19) | Price Forecast |
Is Decentraland overvalued right now?
Decentraland trades 84% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 0.1/100.
Where is Decentraland against its 200-week moving average?
Decentraland is 77.6% below its 200-week moving average of $0.32, at $0.073. Macro risk score 40.8%.
What is Decentraland's 20-week moving-average risk level?
Decentraland at $0.072 sits at risk level 0.31 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is Decentraland against its DCA fair value?
Decentraland sits 17% below its regression fair value of $0.087.
What does the model forecast for the Decentraland price?
Decentraland model base target $0.082, with a 68% range of $0.037 to $0.19.
Decentraland against other assets
How does Decentraland's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 107 weekly readings from 2024-10-13 to 2026-11-09, Decentraland's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 86% below to 45% above, with a median of 53% below. Today it is 84% below. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 58% below to 191% above over 106 weeks from 2024-10-13 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 20% below; today it is 17% below.
How does Decentraland's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
Decentraland's Gravity Risk of 0.1 is tied for the 10th lowest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 84% below, it is the 31st lowest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
Decentraland's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for Decentraland since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.