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Litecoin (LTC) research
Every model we publish for Litecoin — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
Litecoin key levels today
The headline figure from each of Litecoin's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $71 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 1.9 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $79.48 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $7.69 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $37.06 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $134.94 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 31.2% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.31 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | +49.77% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $53.35 (68% range $20.07 to $104.33) | Price Forecast |
| Base scenario value by 2040 | $357 | Retirement CAGR Model |
Is Litecoin overvalued right now?
Litecoin trades 27% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 1.9/100.
Where is Litecoin against its 200-week moving average?
Litecoin is 35.0% below its 200-week moving average of $79.48, at $51.69. Macro risk score 31.2%.
What is Litecoin's 20-week moving-average risk level?
Litecoin at $51.74 sits at risk level 0.31 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is Litecoin against its DCA fair value?
Litecoin sits 40% above its regression fair value of $37.06.
Is Litecoin above or below its log regression fair value?
Litecoin is 50% above its log regression fair value.
Is Litecoin in accumulation or euphoria on the rainbow chart?
Litecoin is in bull phase expansion at $52.64.
What does the model forecast for the Litecoin price?
Litecoin model base target $53.35, with a 68% range of $20.07 to $104.33.
How much Litecoin do you need to retire?
In the base scenario (25% in growth years, with a drawdown every four years), Litecoin reaches $357 by 2040. A scenario, not a forecast.
Litecoin against other assets
- 200-Week Moving Average Risk — Composite SMA Risk, BTC pair
- Price Forecast — Price Forecast And Analysis, BTC pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Gravity Analysis, BTC pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Twap Gravity, BTC pair
- Valuation Bands — Valuation Bands, BTC pair
- 200-Week Moving Average Risk — Composite SMA Risk, ETH pair
- Price Forecast — Price Forecast And Analysis, ETH pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Gravity Analysis, ETH pair
- TWAP / Gravity Risk — Twap Gravity, ETH pair
- Valuation Bands — Valuation Bands, ETH pair
How does Litecoin's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 120 weekly readings from 2024-07-14 to 2026-11-09, Litecoin's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 41% below to 95% above, with a median of 8% above. Today it is 27% below. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 55% below to 88% above over 120 weeks from 2024-07-07 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 21% below; today it is 40% above.
How does Litecoin's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
Litecoin's Gravity Risk of 1.9 is the 42nd lowest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 27% below, it is the 22nd highest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
Litecoin's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for Litecoin since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.