Litecoin against its 20-week moving average: risk level

LTC Risk Matrix

$51.7410 | Risk: 0.31

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:54 UTC

📈 LTC Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $14.3207
Level 0.05 $20.3490
Level 0.10 $26.3774
Level 0.15 $32.4058
Level 0.20 $38.4342
Level 0.25 $44.4625
Level 0.30 $50.4909
Level 0.35 $56.5193
Level 0.40 $62.5477
Level 0.45 $68.5761
Level 0.50 $74.6044
Level 0.55 $80.6328
Level 0.60 $86.6612
Level 0.65 $92.6896
Level 0.70 $98.7179
Level 0.75 $104.7463
Level 0.80 $110.7747
Level 0.85 $116.8031
Level 0.90 $122.8315
Level 0.95 $128.8598
Level 1.00 $134.8882

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes LTC's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what LTC's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.