CryptoWeeklies / Reports / AAVE
AAVE (AAVE) research
Every model we publish for AAVE — valuation, risk and forecast — regenerated daily from market data. Free, no account.
AAVE key levels today
The headline figure from each of AAVE's reports, as published today. Each comes from the report linked beside it.
| Lifetime TWAP | $163 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| Gravity Risk (0-100) | 18.6 | TWAP / Gravity Risk |
| 200-week moving average | $142.33 | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| Regression floor | $107.90 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression fair value | $184.41 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Regression ceiling | $439.44 | DCA & Regression Fair Value |
| Moving-average risk score | 36.1% | 200-Week Moving Average Risk |
| 20-week SMA risk level (0-1) | 0.43 | 20-Week SMA Risk |
| Log regression deviation | -27.96% | Log Regression Fair Value |
| Forecast base target | $135.31 (68% range $66.59 to $313.03) | Price Forecast |
Is AAVE overvalued right now?
AAVE trades 19% below its lifetime Time-Weighted Average Price (TWAP), with a Gravity Risk score of 18.6/100.
Where is AAVE against its 200-week moving average?
AAVE is 6.4% below its 200-week moving average of $142.33, at $133.19. Macro risk score 36.1%.
What is AAVE's 20-week moving-average risk level?
AAVE at $132.48 sits at risk level 0.43 on a 0-1 scale against its 20-week moving average.
Where is AAVE against its DCA fair value?
AAVE sits 28% below its regression fair value of $184.41.
Is AAVE above or below its log regression fair value?
AAVE is 28% below its log regression fair value.
What does the model forecast for the AAVE price?
AAVE model base target $135.31, with a 68% range of $66.59 to $313.03.
AAVE against other assets
How does AAVE's reading today compare with its own history?
Across 120 weekly readings from 2024-07-14 to 2026-11-09, AAVE's premium to its lifetime TWAP ranged from 62% below to 142% above, with a median of 1% above. Today it is 19% below. Against its regression fair value it ranged from 70% below to 193% above over 120 weeks from 2024-07-07 to 2026-11-09, with a median of 17% above; today it is 28% below.
How does AAVE's Gravity Risk compare with other crypto assets?
AAVE's Gravity Risk of 18.6 is the 6th highest of the 84 crypto assets we track, against a median of 2.0. The lowest reading today, 0, is shared by Cosmos, Axie Infinity, Flow, Flare, Ampleforth, Loopring, Mantra, Ronin and Theta Network, and the highest is Tron at 57.1. By premium to its lifetime TWAP, 19% below, it is the 14th highest of the 84, against a median of 75% below.
AAVE's track record
Every weekly DCA reading published for AAVE since mid-2024, set beside the price 13 and 26 weeks later: see the receipts.