LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:59 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON
68% Bear Target
$2.43
23-Week Base Target
$6.38
68% Bull Target
$16.40
| Date | Bear 99.7% | Bear 95% | Bear 68% | Base | Bull 68% | Bull 95% | Bull 99.7% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | $5.1222 | $5.8672 | $6.6797 | $7.6310 | $8.7141 | $9.9086 | $11.33 |
| 2026-10-04 | $3.8288 | $4.8298 | $6.0262 | $7.5597 | $9.4717 | $11.78 | $14.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | $3.0157 | $4.0917 | $5.4694 | $7.3592 | $9.8812 | $13.13 | $17.62 |
| 2026-10-18 | $2.4516 | $3.5319 | $4.9958 | $7.1189 | $10.11 | $14.18 | $20.12 |
| 2026-10-25 | $2.0475 | $3.1075 | $4.6162 | $6.9123 | $10.31 | $15.14 | $22.54 |
| 2026-11-01 | $1.7514 | $2.7851 | $4.3228 | $6.7655 | $10.54 | $16.13 | $25.04 |
| 2026-11-08 | $1.5698 | $2.6045 | $4.2061 | $6.8514 | $11.10 | $17.63 | $28.42 |
| 2026-11-15 | $1.4465 | $2.4955 | $4.1800 | $7.0635 | $11.86 | $19.49 | $32.53 |
| 2026-11-22 | $1.2614 | $2.2593 | $3.9190 | $6.8588 | $11.91 | $20.22 | $34.89 |
| 2026-11-29 | $1.1102 | $2.0601 | $3.6935 | $6.6815 | $11.99 | $20.97 | $37.31 |
| 2026-12-06 | $1.0408 | $1.9961 | $3.6897 | $6.8822 | $12.72 | $22.89 | $41.90 |
| 2026-12-13 | $0.9691 | $1.9181 | $3.6510 | $7.0123 | $13.33 | $24.64 | $46.35 |
| 2026-12-20 | $0.8846 | $1.8129 | $3.5639 | $7.0689 | $13.87 | $26.39 | $51.13 |
| 2026-12-27 | $0.7933 | $1.6843 | $3.4211 | $7.0101 | $14.19 | $27.82 | $55.53 |
| 2027-01-03 | $0.7001 | $1.5386 | $3.2267 | $6.8250 | $14.24 | $28.74 | $59.06 |
| 2027-01-10 | $0.6157 | $1.3994 | $3.0268 | $6.6018 | $14.19 | $29.44 | $62.22 |
| 2027-01-17 | $0.5454 | $1.2803 | $2.8531 | $6.4099 | $14.18 | $30.21 | $65.57 |
| 2027-01-24 | $0.4885 | $1.1833 | $2.7140 | $6.2736 | $14.26 | $31.18 | $69.43 |
| 2027-01-31 | $0.4550 | $1.1352 | $2.6755 | $6.3534 | $14.82 | $33.19 | $75.73 |
| 2027-02-07 | $0.4329 | $1.1113 | $2.6884 | $6.5503 | $15.66 | $35.89 | $83.80 |
| 2027-02-14 | $0.3873 | $1.0234 | $2.5427 | $6.3602 | $15.60 | $36.58 | $87.45 |
| 2027-02-21 | $0.3483 | $0.9468 | $2.4143 | $6.1955 | $15.57 | $37.36 | $91.35 |
| 2027-02-28 | $0.3331 | $0.9299 | $2.4288 | $6.3819 | $16.40 | $40.19 | $100.38 |
This analysis provides a projection of AVAX's valuation against the US Dollar (USD) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.
The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.