AVAX/USD Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-06-11 20:10 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

$1.89

23-Week Base Target

$5.45

68% Bull Target

$14.81

Raw Data Matrix (USD)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-06-21 $4.3338 $5.0216 $5.7762 $6.6645 $7.6805 $8.8054 $10.14
2026-06-28 $3.2594 $4.2007 $5.3385 $6.8104 $8.6594 $10.90 $13.82
2026-07-05 $2.5922 $3.6240 $4.9664 $6.8312 $9.3432 $12.60 $17.12
2026-07-12 $2.1240 $3.1777 $4.6352 $6.7820 $9.8434 $14.03 $20.16
2026-07-19 $1.7416 $2.7671 $4.2642 $6.5855 $10.06 $15.05 $22.68
2026-07-26 $1.4393 $2.4157 $3.9130 $6.3449 $10.16 $15.85 $24.93
2026-08-02 $1.2110 $2.1386 $3.6266 $6.1487 $10.27 $16.65 $27.22
2026-08-09 $1.0321 $1.9116 $3.3834 $5.9790 $10.38 $17.45 $29.54
2026-08-16 $0.9323 $1.8035 $3.3183 $6.0873 $10.94 $18.99 $33.18
2026-08-23 $0.8534 $1.7197 $3.2816 $6.2340 $11.58 $20.70 $37.22
2026-08-30 $0.7328 $1.5399 $3.0496 $6.0023 $11.52 $21.22 $39.29
2026-09-06 $0.6360 $1.3915 $2.8554 $5.8136 $11.51 $21.82 $41.51
2026-09-13 $0.5904 $1.3455 $2.8618 $6.0281 $12.32 $24.01 $46.95
2026-09-20 $0.5414 $1.2864 $2.8376 $6.1863 $13.05 $26.16 $52.58
2026-09-27 $0.4857 $1.2033 $2.7525 $6.2091 $13.51 $27.86 $57.51
2026-10-04 $0.4319 $1.1150 $2.6430 $6.1646 $13.83 $29.30 $62.08
2026-10-11 $0.3754 $1.0101 $2.4818 $5.9851 $13.84 $30.12 $65.49
2026-10-18 $0.3241 $0.9088 $2.3133 $5.7653 $13.74 $30.69 $68.43
2026-10-25 $0.2824 $0.8243 $2.1713 $5.5861 $13.70 $31.39 $71.68
2026-11-01 $0.2476 $0.7515 $2.0470 $5.4311 $13.69 $32.15 $75.14
2026-11-08 $0.2298 $0.7226 $2.0278 $5.5300 $14.29 $34.28 $81.77
2026-11-15 $0.2154 $0.7005 $2.0231 $5.6641 $14.98 $36.69 $89.24
2026-11-22 $0.1876 $0.6341 $1.8911 $5.4524 $14.81 $37.10 $92.19

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of AVAX's valuation against the US Dollar (USD) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.