Weekly candle labelled : the plotted close is $1.41. Compare it with the three averages at the same candle below. A positive gap means the close is above that average; a negative gap means it is below.
| Average | Plotted value | Close vs average |
|---|---|---|
| 20-week average | $2.56 | -45.0% |
| 100-week average | $45.38 | -96.9% |
| 200-week average | $184.33 | -99.2% |
The lower panel reads 0.221 on a 0–1 scale. It averages the chart’s 20-, 100- and 200-week sigmoid risk readings. This is a model indicator, not a probability of loss or a forecast of the next price move.
Weekly candles are labelled by period end, so the current candle may be incomplete. See how composite moving-average risk works and the research methodology.