Argo Blockchain price forecast: what the model says

ARBK SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$1.41

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$0.2295

Bear 68%

$0.0027

Bull 68%

$2.95

68% Range Width

1284.6%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $0.3362 $0.5324 $0.8023 $1.19 $1.73 $2.43 $3.40
2026-11-29 $0.1533 $0.3340 $0.6486 $1.20 $2.10 $3.46 $5.60
2026-12-06 $0.0962 $0.2736 $0.6451 $1.40 $2.78 $5.07 $8.97
2026-12-13 $0.0500 $0.1904 $0.5468 $1.38 $3.08 $6.15 $11.76
2026-12-20 $0.0256 $0.1325 $0.4610 $1.34 $3.31 $7.14 $14.55
2026-12-27 $0.0123 $0.0895 $0.3791 $1.26 $3.43 $7.95 $17.14
2027-01-03 $0.0047 $0.0536 $0.2852 $1.10 $3.32 $8.25 $18.86
2027-01-10 $0.0016 $0.0307 $0.2103 $0.9444 $3.16 $8.41 $20.29
2027-01-17 $0.0005 $0.0178 $0.1588 $0.8285 $3.04 $8.65 $21.89
2027-01-24 $0.0001 $0.0112 $0.1283 $0.7660 $3.05 $9.16 $24.14
2027-01-31 $0.0000 $0.0078 $0.1117 $0.7483 $3.19 $10.00 $27.22
2027-02-07 $0.0000 $0.0044 $0.0862 $0.6692 $3.11 $10.26 $29.02
2027-02-14 $0.0000 $0.0019 $0.0584 $0.5510 $2.84 $10.02 $29.73
2027-02-21 $0.0000 $0.0013 $0.0526 $0.5551 $3.04 $11.09 $33.72
2027-02-28 $0.0000 $0.0014 $0.0607 $0.6595 $3.66 $13.50 $41.31
2027-03-07 $0.0000 $0.0009 $0.0533 $0.6491 $3.82 $14.56 $45.64
2027-03-14 N/A $0.0005 $0.0454 $0.6264 $3.92 $15.47 $49.69
2027-03-21 N/A $0.0003 $0.0368 $0.5853 $3.92 $16.08 $53.05
2027-03-28 N/A $0.0001 $0.0259 $0.5015 $3.68 $15.88 $54.20
2027-04-04 N/A $0.0000 $0.0175 $0.4223 $3.41 $15.52 $54.89
2027-04-11 N/A $0.0000 $0.0121 $0.3636 $3.21 $15.37 $56.13
2027-04-18 N/A $0.0000 $0.0092 $0.3324 $3.16 $15.71 $58.83
2027-04-25 N/A $0.0000 $0.0078 $0.3236 $3.25 $16.58 $63.20
2027-05-02 N/A $0.0000 $0.0054 $0.2847 $3.11 $16.57 $64.92
2027-05-09 N/A $0.0000 $0.0030 $0.2276 $2.80 $15.85 $64.47
2027-05-16 N/A N/A $0.0027 $0.2295 $2.95 $17.05 $70.25

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.